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Is the New York Kill Zone Worth Trading?

Yes — and it outranks London, which is the reverse of what is taught.

The claim as it is usually statedICT New York kill zone (07:00-10:00 NY) - the second most important window.

Elevated in 19 of 19 markets at 133% of a normal hour. ICT ranks New York second, after London. Measured, the order is the other way round and not narrowly.

What the data shows

Across 19 markets: direction: 3 of 19 markets differ beyond chance · movement: genuinely bigger in 19 of 19. Median movement in the window, 133% of a normal hour.

MarketIn the windowRestzMovementSamples
Silver (XAG/USD)53.3%48.9%10.2134% of normal15,590
USD/CAD50.6%49.5%2.7152% of normal17,733
EUR/JPY49.7%50.8%-2.7120% of normal15,658
EUR/USD49.4%50.1%-1.6135% of normal17,689
GBP/USD49.3%49.9%-1.3150% of normal15,598
UK100 (FTSE)51.9%50.8%1.1128% of normal2,849

Strongest six by statistical strength, whichever way they point. z measures how far from chance a result sits — we treat |z| ≥ 3 as significant, and print it even when it is nowhere near.

Who says it

TradingFinder

How this was measured

Every claim here reduces to a window on the clock or the calendar, so it can simply be checked. We compare the claimed window against the rest of the week on 23 years of hourly data across 19 markets, measuring two separate things the folklore tends to conflate: direction (does the window close higher more often?) via a two-proportion z-test, and movement (is the average move bigger or smaller?). A window can be perfectly ordinary in direction and genuinely quieter in movement — saying which is the entire point.

The bar here is |z| ≥ 2, deliberately more lenient than the |z| ≥ 3 this site applies to its own numbers: when testing someone else's claim, failing to reject it even at a lenient bar is the stronger statement.

Check any hour yourself →

Free on the four major pairs, with the full 23 years and the sample size on every number.